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\section{Background and Notation}\label{sec:background}


\subsection{Probabilistic Databases (PDBs)}

An \textit{incomplete database} $\idb$ is a set of deterministic databases $\db$ called possible worlds.
Denote the schema of $\db$ as $\sch(\db)$. A \textit{probabilistic database} $\pdb$ is a pair $(\idb, \pd)$ where $\idb$ is an incomplete database and $\pd$ is a probability distribution over $\idb$. Queries over probabilistic databases are evaluated using the so-called possible world semantics. Under possible world semantics, the result of a query $\query$ over an incomplete database $\idb$ is the set of query answers produced by evaluating $\query$ over each possible world:
\[\query(\idb) = \comprehension{\query(\db)}{\db \in \idb}\]

For a probabilistic  database $\pdb = (\idb, \pd)$,  the result of a query is the pair $(\query(\idb), \pd')$ where $\pd'$ is a probability distribution over $\query(\idb)$  that assigns to each possible query result the sum of the probabilities of the worlds that produce this answer:
\[\forall \db \in \query(\idb): \probOf'(\db) = \sum_{\db' \in \idb: \query(\db') = \db} \probOf(\db') \]

Note that in this work, for the query output, we consider bags, i.e., each possible world in the query output is a set of bag relations and queries are evaluated using bag semantics. We will use $\domK$-relations to model bags. A \emph{$\domK$-relation}~\cite{DBLP:conf/pods/GreenKT07} is a relation whose tuples are annotated with elements from a commutative semiring $\semK = (\domK, \addK, \multK, \zeroK, \oneK)$.  A commutative semiring is a structure with a domain $\domK$ and associative and commutative binary operations $\addK$ and $\multK$ such that $\multK$ distributes over $\addK$, $\zeroK$ is the identity of $\addK$, $\oneK$ is the identity of $\multK$, and $\zeroK$ annihilates all elements of $\domK$ when combined by $\multK$.
Let $\udom$ be a countable domain of values.
Formally, an n-ary $\semK$-relation over $\udom$ is a function $\rel: \udom^n \to \domK$ with finite support $\support{\rel} = \{ \tup \mid \rel(\tup) \neq \zeroK \}$.
A $\semK$-database is a set of $\semK$-relations. It will be convenient to also interpret a $\semK$-database as a function from tuples to annotations. Thus, $\rel(t)$ (resp., $\db(t)$) denotes the annotation associated by $\semK$-relation $\rel$ ($\semK$-database $\db$) to $t$.
We review positive relational algebra semantics for $\semK$-relations below.


Consider the semiring $\semN = (\domN,+,\times,0,1)$ of natural numbers. $\semN$-databases model bag semantics by annotating each tuple with its multiplicity. A  probabilistic $\semN$-database ($\semN$-PDB) is a PDB where each possible world is an $\semN$-database. We study the problem of computing statistical moments for query results over such databases.  Specifically, given a probabilistic $\semN$-database $\pdb = (\idb, \pd)$, query $\query$, and possible result $t$,  we treat $\query(\db)(t)$ as a random $\semN$-valued variable and are interested in computing its expectation  $\expct_{\idb \sim \probDist}[\query(\db)(t)]$:
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\begin{equation}\label{eq:bag-expectation}
\expct_{\idb \sim \probDist}[\query(\db)(t)] = \sum_{\db \in \idb} \query(\db)(t) \cdot \probOf(\db)
\end{equation}
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Intuitively, the expectation of $\query(\db)(t)$ is the number of duplicates of $t$ we expect to find in result of query $\query$.

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\subsection{Representation System and Semantics}\label{sec:semnx-as-repr}

\subsubsection{$\semK$-relational Query Semantics}
For completeness, we briefly review the semantics for $\raPlus$ queries over $\semK$-relations~\cite{DBLP:conf/pods/GreenKT07}.
We use $\evald{\cdot}{\db}$ to denote the result of evaluating query $\query$ over $\semK$-database $\db$. In the definition shown below, we assume that tuples are of appropriate arity, use $\sch(\rel)$ to denote the attributes of $\rel$, and use $\project_A(\tup)$ to denote the projection of tuple $\tup$ on a list of attributes $A$.  Furthermore, $\theta(\tup)$ denotes the (Boolean) result of evaluating condition $\theta$ over $\tup$.
\begin{align*}
 	\evald{\project_A(\rel)}{\db}(\tup) &= \sum_{\tup': \project_A(\tup') = \tup} \evald{\rel}{\db}(\tup') &	
 	\evald{(\rel_1 \union \rel_2)}{\db}(\tup) &= \evald{\rel_1}{\db}(\tup) \addK \evald{\rel_2}{\db}(\tup)\\
 	\evald{\select_\theta(\rel)}{\db}(\tup) &= \begin{cases}
		\evald{\rel}{\db}(\tup)	& \text{if }\theta(\tup) \\
		\zeroK                       & \text{otherwise}.
		\end{cases} &
       \evald{(\rel_1 \join \rel_2)}{\db}(\tup) &= \evald{\rel_1}{\db}(\project_{\sch(\rel_1)}(\tup)) \multK 				\evald{\rel_2}{\db}(\project_{\sch(\rel_2)}(\tup)) \\
       & & \evald{R}{\db}(\tup) &= \rel(\tup)
\end{align*}


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\subsubsection{$\semNX$ as a Representation System}\label{sec:semnx-as-repr}

Let $\semNX$ denote the set of polynomials over variables $\vct{X}$ with natural number coefficients and exponents.
Consider now the semiring $(\semNX, +, \cdot, 0, 1)$ whose domain is $\semNX$, with the standard addition and multiplication of polynomials. 
We will use $\semNX$-PDB $\pxdb$, defined as the tuple $(\db, \pd)$, where $\semNX$-database $\db$ is paired with probability distribution $\pd$.  
We denote by $\polyForTuple$ the annotation of tuple $t$ in the result of $\query$ on an implicit $\semNX$-PDB (i.e., $\polyForTuple = \query(\pxdb)(t)$ for some $\pxdb$) and as before, interpret it as a function $\polyForTuple: \{0,1\}^{|\vct X|} \rightarrow \semN$ from vectors of variable assignments to the corresponding value of the annotating polynomial.
$\semNX$-PDBs and a function $\rmod$ from an $\semNX$-PDB to an equivalent $\semN$-PDB are both formalized in \Cref{subsec:supp-mat-background}.

 
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\begin{Proposition}[Expectation of polynomials]\label{prop:expection-of-polynom}
  Given an $\semN$-PDB $\pdb = (\idb,\pd)$ and $\semNX$-PDB $\pxdb = (\db',\pd')$ where $\rmod(\pxdb) = \pdb$:
  \[ \expct_{\idb \sim \pd}[\query(\db)(t)] = \expct_{\vct{W} \sim \pd'}\pbox{\polyForTuple(\vct{W})} \]
\end{Proposition}
\noindent A formal proof of \Cref{prop:expection-of-polynom} is given in \Cref{subsec:expectation-of-polynom-proof}.  
This proposition shows that computing expected tuple multiplicities is equivalent to computing the expectation of a polynomial (for that tuple) from a probability distribution over all possible assignments of variables in the polynomial to $\{0,1\}$.
We focus on this problem from now on, assume an implicit result tuple, and so drop the subscript from $\polyForTuple$ (i.e., $\poly$ is used as a polynomial from now on).

\subsubsection{\tis and \bis}
\label{subsec:tidbs-and-bidbs}
In this paper, we focus on two popular forms of PDB: Block-Independent (\bi) and Tuple-Independent (\ti) PDBs.
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A \bi $\pxdb = (\db, \pd)$ is an $\semNX$-PDB  such that (i) every tuple is annotated with either $0$ or a unique variable $X_i$ and (ii) that the tuples $\tup$ of $\pxdb$ for which $\pxdb(\tup) \neq 0$ can be partitioned into a set of blocks such that variables from separate blocks are independent of each other and variables from the same blocks are disjoint events.
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A \emph{\ti} is a \bi where each block contains exactly one tuple.
\Cref{subsec:supp-mat-ti-bi-def} explains \tis and \bis in greater detail.
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